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Россия замещает западные станки китайскими
За год доля Китая в импорте станков в Россию выросла вчетверо, до 43,25%. По официальной статистике, производство станков в РФ удвоилось. Но потребители не могут ждать, пока отечественное оборудование появится в нужном количестве, и закупают его в Китае.
Китай изменил долю поставляемого оборудования
Производство в России металлообрабатывающих станков выросло с 4877 единиц в 2021 году до 6706 в 2022-м. Кузнечно-прессового оборудования (КПО) — с 4402 до 9800 единиц. Потребление за тот же период увеличилось с 19 489 штук (совокупно станки и КПО) до 25 573.
Получается, что в 2021 году страна обеспечивала себя этой продукцией на 47,6%, а в 2022-м — на 64,54%. Такие данные привёл председатель правления Национального союза поставщиков оборудования и инструмента для металлообработки (НСПОИМ) Павел Беликов, выступая на Национальном металлообрабатывающем форуме NMF-2023, который начался в Москве 23 мая.
Участники рынка считают эту статистику некорректной. Во-первых, эти цифры не отражают степень локализации производства, отметил Леонид Халфун, генеральный директор ОАО “МПО имени И. Румянцева”.
Металлообрабатывающие станки в России собираются преимущественно из импортных компонентов. “Наша станкостроительная промышленность уже давно не наша, и её почти нет. Это смешные попытки показать, что мы это сделали сами”, — говорит Халфун.
Уровень локализации в станкостроении, по данным Правительства РФ, в 2020 году составлял 47%. При этом Финансовый университет при Правительстве РФ оценивает долю отечественного производства в станкостроении в 8%.
Реакция производства на рост спроса проявляется в среднем через девять месяцев, говорит Иван Аверьянов, председатель совета директоров АО “Пермский завод металлообрабатывающих центров”. Это объясняется длительным циклом проектирования и организации производства. То есть если в марте 2022-го, после сокращения импорта из Европы, США и Японии, спрос на отечественную продукцию вырос, к концу года выпуск станков вряд ли мог бы показать такую существенную динамику, поясняют участники рынка.
Во-вторых, хотя отечественное производство и выросло в результате введения санкций, но ещё больше увеличились поставки из Китая и Тайваня. Если в 2021 году Китай и Тайвань совокупно поставляли в Россию 20,68% металлообрабатывающего оборудования, то в 2022-м — 58,7%.
Для СПРАВКИ:
В 2021 году Россия импортировала металлообрабатывающего оборудования на $816,8 млн (11 433 единиц продукции), в 2022-м — на $574,1 млн (9074 штук). Падение в деньгах составило 29,7%, в штуках — 20,63%.
В 2021 году на первом месте по поставке оборудования была Германия (24,84% от всего импорта), затем шли Италия (18,17%), Китай (10,93%), Тайвань (9,75%), Южная Корея (9,49), Финляндия (7,1%), Япония (5,91%).
В 2022 году доля Китая выросла до 43,25%, Тайваня — до 15,45%.
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